ASCE 9780784405987 2002

$35.21

Degrees of Belief

Published By	Publication Date	Number of Pages
ASCE	2002	468

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Steven G. Vick artfully weaves together three elements at the very core of engineering—uncertainties in knowledge, inductive reasoning, and individual expertise—to bring new meaning to these concepts for anyone making decisions in the fields of engineering, science, or technology.

PDF Catalog

PDF Pages	PDF Title
4	CONTENTS
8	PREFACE
14	1 THE MEANINGS OF PROBABILITY
32	2 THE FREQUENCY/BELIEF DUALITY
68	3 THE THEORY/JUDGMENT DUALITY
118	4 RELIABILITY, RISK, AND PROBABILISTIC METHODS
194	5 SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITY AND COGNITIVE PROCESSES
266	6 ASSESSMENT OF SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITIES
334	7 EXPERTS AND EXPERTISE
408	8 JUDGMENT, PROBABILITY, AND THINKING
420	APPENDIX: PROBABILITY AXIOMS, THEOREMS, AND BOUNDS
444	REFERENCES
460	INDEX A B
461	C D
462	E F
463	G H I
464	J K L M
465	N O P
466	Q R
467	S
468	T U V W